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 Post subject: ~ The Remnants of ` thread ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:30 pm 
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This thread is formed on 11th September 2011. Now recruiting commanders and soldiers.

1st Battalion - Trendline Analyst
2nd Battalion - Moving Average Analyst
3rd Battalion - Patterns, Triggers Analyst
4th Battalion - Elliot Wave Analyst
5th Battalion - Fundamental Analyst
6th Battalion - Time / Lunar Cycle Analyst
7th Battalion - Fibonacci Analyst
8th Battalion - Guerilla warfare - Day Trading Analyst

Please take your positions. :lol:

In remembrance of our past teachers : Eagle & Dust

[quote=dust]There is no right or wrong, only boom or bust, doom or dust.[/quote]


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Battalion ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:30 pm 
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1st Battalion Camp - Trendline

Rule No 1: There is no right trendline, only the best fitting one - milamberz

Rule No 2: The more points the trendline hit, the more valid is that line - milamberz

Rule No 3: Do not underestimate the power of 2 trendline crossing each other, esp when combined with other tools - milamberz

My specialty is to draw a spider web of trendlines and combine it with other indicators to make the best possible guess :lol:

Immediate term view (Updated 18 Sep)
----------------------
I favor the blue line, which is a completion of c wave of Major B and a coming C wave which will bring STI to either 2450, 2300, 1950 (worst case).

This completion of c wave of Major B will likely be completed on 27 Sep 2011. But if you follow me closely, i did mention that 21-27 September are very dangerous dates using a combination of Chinese Fengshui, Astrology, Bible, Events.

The coming C wave will be devastating and swift.





STI Analysis - 18 Sep 11
Image

SPX Analysis - 17 Sep 11
Image

HSI Analysis - Updated 18 Sep 11
milamberz wrote:
milamberz - 27 Aug wrote:
Image


Image


SSE Analysis - 17 Sep 11
Image


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Battalion ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:31 pm 
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2nd Battalion Camp - Moving Averages

Use of 14 & 20 MA for swing trading

Use of 50 & 200 SMA for long term signals

Use of Golden Cross and Death Cross

Use of 10SMA and 10SMA Weekly

Use of 13-34-55 EMA as long term indicator
viewtopic.php?f=27&t=1409


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Singapore Armed Forces ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:32 pm 
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3rd Battalion Camp - Patterns

1-2-3 Reversals
Image
1-2-3 reversal
(as described by Vic Sperandeo in "Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master")

1. trend line broken
2. lower high in an uptrend, or a higher low in a downtrend.
3. break below the previous low in an uptrend, or above the previous high in a downtrend

At point 3 the reversal is confirmed and everybody's brother is getting short. A stop run often follows to re-test the penetration at point 3. Quicker traders may get short at the X, or even closer to the 2 based on other indicators (divergence, fibonacci retracement, bollinger band touch, etc.)

2B Reversals
Image
"In an uptrend, if prices penetrate the previous high but fail to carry through and immediately drop below the previous high, the trend is apt to reverse. The converse is true for downtrends."
[Vic Sperandeo in "Trader Vic: Methods of a Wall Street Master"]

The 2B principle gets its power from the large number of stop-loss orders in the area of the X. Many traders who bought the breakout will have their stop-loss orders there, so if prices fall below the blue line those stops will be hit, driving prices back down with thrust. If you enter a short as the breakout traders are bailing out of their positions, the burst of selling can propel your trade into the green so quickly that, before you can enter your stop-loss order, prices have moved far enough in your favor to set your initial stop-loss at break even. The inverse is equally effective for 2B bottoms.

Another name for the 2B is "spring." Imagine the blue line in the graphic as a rubber band. The bigger the poke above the blue line, the stronger the reversal potential if the breakout fails. This same principle works on failed triangle breakouts and failed trendline breakouts. If you were unfurtunate and bought the breakout, instead of putting just a stoploss at the X, consider making it a stop-and-reverse. This pattern occurs at the tops and bottoms of consolidations as well as at major reversals.

Gartley 222
Image
http://www.traderslog.com/gartley-pattern.htm

Butterfly Pattern
Image
http://www.trade-forex-harmonic-pattern ... ttern.html

Crab Pattern
Image
http://www.trade-forex-harmonic-pattern ... ttern.html

3 Peaks and a Domehouse
Image
http://thepatternsite.com/3peaksdome.html


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Singapore Armed Forces ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:32 pm 
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4th Battalion Camp

Impulsive waves

Corrective waves

Use of patterns to identify waves.

Use of EW as secondary tool


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Singapore Armed Forces ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:33 pm 
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5th Battalion Camp


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Singapore Armed Forces ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:33 pm 
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6th Battalion Camp

Lunar cycles
Delta Phenomenon
Bradley Sideograph
Fengshui


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Singapore Armed Forces ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:33 pm 
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7th Battalion Camp - Indicators

Mcclellan Oscillator - From Ag88

contrib: market breadth analysis on STI
http://i54.tinypic.com/20peyw2.png

STI has a combination of bullish and bearish signals. The most obvious bearish signal is the bear flag on STI, this is known for bearish trend continuation

After collecting much data, i've been trying to learn how to use a market breadth indicator in my system.
I've got the Mcclellan oscillator plotted for SGX counters (include stocks, puts, any counter available in data)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/McClellan_Oscillator

Mcclellan oscillator is a good indicator of market breadth. i used to take the naive intepretation of below zero being bearish while above zero being bullish, and the pointed sharp edges as reversal indicators, in the end i just get trapped in whipsaws.

This time i did an analysis, those vertical lines are instances when Mcclellan oscillator goes from -ve (bearish) to +ve (bullish) and -ve again (bearish) but makes a higher low. if u observe carefully, each time it makes a higher low, a rally of some sort happens after that. this is a signal of bullish turning point. This seemed to be true with high probability of being right.

we are at this higher low point again and based on this Mcclellan oscillator signal, we are indeed anticipating a rally, it is hard to tell how strong this rally would be

the trouble is STI forms what appear to be a visible bear flag and normally bear flags are known for bearish trend continuation signals
http://thepatternsite.com/flags.html
http://thepatternsite.com/rectbots.html

any 1 has an opinion on the outlook?


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The 8th Singapore Armed Forces ~
PostPosted: September 11th, 2011, 4:34 pm 
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8th Battalion Camp

Use of Pivot Points
http://www.tradeology.com/pivotsecrets.html --> contribution from PPG

Use of 14 EMA as guide
Use of BB
Use of Opening Price as guide
Use of News flow
BB mindset
Use of price average
Use of relative strength


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 Post subject: Re: ~ The Remnants of ` thread ~
PostPosted: September 12th, 2011, 8:18 am 
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Joined: September 9th, 2011, 1:58 pm
Posts: 86
8-) Thumbs UP !


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